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KAN-73 · Bonds Dashboards

Bonds — Historical Dashboard (Page 2)

Institutional historical accuracy and simulated PnL — verified runs only, direction floor 60%.

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Run registry (Dir Acc ≥ 60%)

Run IDDateStatusDir AccSelectedEval N
20260913_130506_BON2026-09-11SUCCESS60.0%51510

Historical direction accuracy

Sample sizes shown; rows below 60% Dir Acc hidden.

DateEval NDirection accuracy
2026-07-23580.0%
2026-07-24560.0%
2026-07-275100.0%
2026-07-31560.0%
2026-08-035100.0%
2026-08-04580.0%
2026-08-06580.0%
2026-08-105100.0%
2026-08-11560.0%
2026-08-125100.0%
2026-08-13580.0%
2026-08-14560.0%
2026-08-175100.0%
2026-08-185100.0%
2026-08-20560.0%
2026-08-245100.0%
2026-08-28580.0%
2026-09-015100.0%
2026-09-02580.0%
2026-09-04580.0%
2026-09-11560.0%

PnL simulation

SIMULATION is model-driven long-only UP strategy. Not a live brokerage P&L statement.

Sim net PnL: -7990.8397
Actual-market net PnL: -3569.5818
Max DD (sim): 0.12941
Wins/Losses/Flats: 365/365/0
Trades: 730

Equity curve

Blue = simulated strategy equity · Green = equal-weight always-long actual market

Daily simulated PnL

Green = positive day · Red = negative day

Direction accuracy (≥ 60%)

Drawdown from peak

Assumptions

  • Starting capital: $100,000
  • Long-only on UP; DOWN / flat = no position (not short).
  • Signal date close → next-session close return from evaluation Actual_Return.
  • Equal weight across instruments with an UP signal that day.
  • Costs: 1.0 bps commission-equivalent + 1.0 bps slippage per position
DateSim PnL $Actual mkt PnL $UP posDOWN flatSim equityMkt equity
2026-07-30-491.5986370.28762391481.880196837.3975
2026-07-31-711.6358-504.42142390770.244396332.976
2026-08-03594.1164-60.10153291364.360696272.8745
2026-08-0467.6474-72.29313291432.00896200.5814
2026-08-05-460.043896.31383290971.964296296.8952
2026-08-06243.766570.73472391215.730796367.6299
2026-08-07-460.0516-97.72261490755.679196269.9072
2026-08-1081.7748-49.48013290837.453996220.4271
2026-08-1120.741937.92353290858.195896258.3506
2026-08-12431.8438-53.63353291290.039696204.7171
2026-08-131165.0961146.88571492455.135696351.6028
2026-08-14170.6416-23.96932392625.777396327.6336
2026-08-17183.4903-64.52613292809.267696263.1075
2026-08-18926.463-21.73763293735.730696241.3698
2026-08-19-462.7486-10.5112393272.98296230.8589
2026-08-20330.4128172.26742393603.394896403.1263
2026-08-21-276.4504-119.75712393326.944496283.3692
2026-08-24740.0773-58.24663294067.021796225.1226
2026-08-25-159.027737.82452393907.99496262.9472
2026-08-26-116.4384-35.88161493791.555696227.0656
2026-08-27-427.599330.39541493363.956296257.461
2026-08-28484.1967169.31723293848.152996426.7782
2026-08-31-823.2983-269.85263293024.854696156.9256
2026-09-0182.70737.8283293107.561696194.7536
2026-09-02124.409-173.45862393231.970796021.2949
2026-09-03-52.5084107.6651493179.462296128.96
2026-09-04215.1456118.6543293394.607896247.614
2026-09-08-358.3541-10.42253293036.253896237.1915
2026-09-09-969.3089136.60673292066.944896373.7982
2026-09-10-57.784556.623292009.160396430.4182