Historical Accuracy
Dashboard
Past directional forecasts and their outcomes.
Partial historical display; not a complete performance record.
Accuracy over time
Monthly results · weighted by evaluated forecasts
Monthly results
Counts and accuracy for each published period
| Period | Evaluated | Correct | Incorrect | Excluded | Accuracy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2026 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 20 | 80.0% |
| Aug 2026 | 65 | 55 | 10 | 40 | 84.6% |
| Jul 2026 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 60 | 84.0% |
| Jun 2026 | 55 | 49 | 6 | 50 | 89.1% |
| May 2026 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 50 | 82.0% |
| Apr 2026 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 55 | 82.0% |
| Mar 2026 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 75 | 71.4% |
| Feb 2026 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 50 | 80.0% |
| Jan 2026 | 60 | 52 | 8 | 40 | 86.7% |
| Dec 2025 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 55 | 81.8% |
| Nov 2025 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 45 | 82.0% |
| Oct 2025 | 70 | 53 | 17 | 45 | 75.7% |
| Sep 2025 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 60 | 84.4% |
| Aug 2025 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 35 | 84.3% |
| Jul 2025 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 70 | 90.0% |
How to read these results
Directional accuracy
Correct forecasts divided by correct plus incorrect forecasts, multiplied by 100. The displayed figure uses the total counts of the shown periods, rather than averaging their percentages.
Scope and exclusions
The display covers selected bonds records and does not represent the full forecasting history. Forecasts without an eligible completed outcome are excluded. A dash means no evaluated result is available; it does not mean zero accuracy.
What accuracy does not show
Directional accuracy is not investment return. It does not account for position size, trading costs or risk. Historical results do not guarantee future performance.